Climate reference material, p. 2 of 5

Contents: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

 

 

14. NYT explainer on how a warming climate produces more powerful storms.

 

 

 

15. Storm surge from Typhoon Haiyan.

 

 

 

16. Yeb Saño, Philippine delegate to COP19.

 

 

 

17. Researchers Alice Bows-Larkin and Kevin Anderson at COP19 call for a 10% annual drop in emissions from Annex 1 countries.

Anderson and Bows-Larkin both gave up air travel eight years ago. Transcript.

Slide from their talk:

 

18. Bows-Larkin and Anderson's slide presentation at COP19 begins on page 67 of a collected PDF from Tyndall Centre (UK) and CICERO (Norway).

Tyndall holds a conference on rapid emissions cuts at the Royal Society, December 10 - 11; the conference target is 8% per year, 60% in ten years.

 

19. Below, interactive charts of emission pathways and carbon budgets shown by Kiln/The Guardian.

The only IPCC forecast in this group that stays below a 2°C rise in temperature is the green line, 'RCP 3PD.'

Click tabs at top of graph to see the emission forecasts compared. The green path reverses itself as emissions drop below the natural recovery rate for CO2. The other scenarios continue on upward trajectories in temperature, though at greater or lesser rates. Long term temperature rises are associated with changes in sea level that would flood coastal cities like New York.

 

 

Graphic showing climate forecast against lifespan, using 'business-as-usual' forecast, RCP 8.5 scenario:

 

 

20. A parallel carbon budget analysis in the business website Quartz, via Eric Holthaus and Ritchie King:

"The seemingly fairest way to do it—divide up the carbon per person, throughout the world—quickly breaks down when you realize just how fast some countries are burning carbon. For example, the United States, with roughly 5% of the world’s population, produces about 20% of the world’s carbon emissions...so, what to do? A better way forward may actually be counter-intuitive: embrace voluntary national commitments, using a globally agreed-upon carbon budget as a guide."

 

 

21. IPCC 2007 climate change impacts report through 5°C rise.

 

Contents:1, 2, 3, 4, 5